Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223090           6          51          36           7           0        B8.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000664937          29          60           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   1.09000e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            14.50       58.00       24.00        3.50        0.00     B4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2