Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227101           2          32          53          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000715147          27          47          22           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.62000e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             8.50       39.00       43.75        8.75        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2