Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228768           2          26          62           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000757858          17          41          33           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.67000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             6.25       35.75       49.75        7.75        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5