Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229488           1          21          63          14           1        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000777813          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.81000e-07           3          27          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             6.00       36.25       47.25       10.25        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8