Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230477           2          20          57          18           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000808932          11          45          40           4           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   2.88000e-07           2          23          67           8           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             5.00       33.50       51.25        9.50        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1