Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235191           4          11          58          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000890044           2          34          50          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.58000e-07           2           1          79          17           1        C4.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.75       23.50       56.25       15.00        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1