Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236638           2          13          57          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909274           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.78000e-07           3           1          71          24           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       17.50       59.50       17.25        2.75     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5