Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235516           4          11          56          26           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903170           3          28          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.92000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       14.75       61.00       20.00        2.00     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9