Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235871           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909793           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   4.07000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =            59           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       15.75       61.75       18.25        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2