Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235818           3          13          57          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905939           3          30          48          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.17000e-07           1           2          80          15           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.75       16.00       62.50       17.50        2.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.7