Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234195           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889097           2          35          50          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.49000e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.50       16.00       62.00       17.00        1.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4