Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233822           4          12          64          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000864888           6          43          42           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   3.74000e-07           1           4          78          17           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =            54           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             3.25       19.50       61.50       15.00        0.75     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      B9.3