Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231458           3          15          61          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000844014           6          51          37           6           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.36000e-07           3           6          76          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.50       29.00       54.25       11.25        1.00     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      B9.2