Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231045           4          17          59          18           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000839604           4          48          39           9           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   3.45000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.75       24.75       58.00       12.75        0.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1