Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237960           1           5          68          20           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000885408           1          33          55          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.46000e-07           1           0          63          30           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             2.25       20.50       57.25       16.75        3.25     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2