Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237535           1           7          68          20           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000896585           3          34          49          12           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.65000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.00       16.00       62.50       16.50        3.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9