Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240372           1           6          62          24           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100123           2          12          64          18           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.74000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.25       10.00       64.25       20.75        3.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6