Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242873           1           0          66          29           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102591           2          14          64          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.46000e-07           1           0          51          39           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             0.75        8.00       61.25       25.25        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8