Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239291           1           4          73          17           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960296           3          17          55          22           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   7.13000e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.75        9.00       63.25       21.50        4.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0