Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236694           2          13          58          22           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927985           1          20          51          25           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   5.47000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.25       12.50       60.25       23.00        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5