Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234518           5          11          63          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000896570           3          34          49          12           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   4.87000e-07           2           1          67          29           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.75       13.25       61.75       20.50        1.75     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2