Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233429           3          16          61          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884634           1          34          55          10           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   4.49000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.25       17.50       66.00       12.50        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5