Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235419           4          13          56          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915093           3          25          50          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   5.50000e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.7
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00       11.25       61.50       22.50        2.75     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      M3.7