Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233558           3          16          60          19           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000899878           3          28          51          15           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.22000e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50       16.00       64.75       15.75        2.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.5