Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234316           4          11          64          19           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000931377           1          21          51          25           2        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   4.14000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C2.7
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.00       13.50       65.25       17.00        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4