Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234072           4          13          62          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000950007           2          15          53          27           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   3.98000e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       12.25       64.00       19.75        2.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0