Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233243           2          16          62          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000973808           3          18          55          20           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.19000e-07           4          10          73          13           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.25       18.00       62.50       14.25        2.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7