Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233127           2          15          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979791           4          15          55          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.04000e-07           3          13          74          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.75       23.25       57.25       14.00        1.75     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B6.3