Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232127           3          15          58          22           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000983094           3          14          59          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.53000e-07           2          34          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.50       28.25       52.25       14.25        1.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B8.9