Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231543           3          16          60          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977499           3          16          55          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.26000e-07           4          40          51           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.25       30.00       51.00       12.75        2.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2