Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231965           3          16          57          22           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985715           4          14          59          18           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.43000e-07           3          35          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             4.00       28.50       51.00       14.75        1.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.8