Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232009           3          16          56          23           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100226           2          11          65          18           4        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.28000e-07           4          36          52           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             5.50       30.00       50.00       13.00        1.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1