Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234210           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102197           3          14          63          16           4        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.50000e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             4.50       20.75       58.75       14.25        1.75     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      B8.0