Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234063           4          13          62          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102784           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.00000e-07           3          20          69           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            33           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             4.00       24.00       56.25       13.75        2.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.3