Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234888           5           9          59          24           3        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103968           3          12          61          16           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   3.31000e-07           4           9          73          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             4.50       21.00       55.75       16.00        2.75     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3