Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232065           3          15          57          22           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000983019           3          14          59          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.70000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.25       28.25       53.00       13.50        2.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B9.0