Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228510           2          28          60          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915949           3          25          52          17           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   1.77000e-07          10          46          36           8           0        B8.9
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             5.50       36.50       45.75       11.50        0.75     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.2