Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226905           2          36          48          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884792           1          35          54          10           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.71000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             4.75       41.50       44.25        9.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.3