Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227644           3          33          53          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000893514           2          34          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.97000e-07           5          46          43           6           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             4.00       41.25       45.00        9.25        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0