Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227777           3          32          55          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907655           3          28          49          17           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.88000e-07           6          46          39           9           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             4.75       40.00       43.75       10.75        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2