Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227730           3          34          53          10           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000908859           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.91000e-07           6          45          42           7           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                             6.00       39.75       44.50        9.00        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2