Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229771           1          21          60          16           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000942260           1          16          57          23           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.42000e-07           3          35          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             2.50       31.25       51.25       13.75        1.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9