Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230129           1          21          59          16           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959698           3          17          56          21           3        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   2.27000e-07           4          38          52           6           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             3.75       31.00       51.25       12.50        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1