Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230387           1          19          59          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946859           1          16          56          24           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.44000e-07           3          35          54           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            30           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             2.50       29.00       52.50       14.50        1.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7