Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232976           2          15          64          17           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987616           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.98000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       20.00       62.50       12.50        2.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4