Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233309           3          17          60          18           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101187           2          12          67          17           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   3.16000e-07           3          11          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.00       16.00       65.50       13.75        1.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6