Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237042           2          12          62          19           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107138           3           4          71          19           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   4.16000e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.25       10.50       68.50       15.75        3.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8