Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236328           2          14          58          22           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106124           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   3.91000e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.50       12.25       65.75       16.50        3.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3