Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236216           2          15          56          24           3        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106460           3           5          69          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   3.94000e-07           1           3          76          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.50       11.50       65.75       17.25        3.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0