Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234066           4          13          62          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102703           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.15000e-07           3          11          75          11           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             3.75       22.00       58.50       13.75        2.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2